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President, Mace News:

tony@macenews.com


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denny@macenews.com


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Contact Mace News President
Tony Mace tony@macenews.com 
to find a customer- and markets-oriented brand of news coverage with a level of individualized service unique to the industry. A market participant told us he believes he has his own White House correspondent as Mace News provides breaking news and/or audio feeds, stories, savvy analysis, photos and headlines delivered how you want them. And more. And this is important because you won’t get it anywhere else. That’s MICRONEWS. We know how important to you are the short advisories on what’s coming up, whether briefings, statements, unexpected changes in schedules and calendars and anything else that piques our interest.

No matter the area being covered, the reporter is always only a telephone call or message away. We check with you frequently to see how we can improve. Have a question, need to be briefed via video or audio-only on a topic’s state of play, keep us on speed dial. See the list of interest areas we cover elsewhere
on this site.

You can have two weeks reduced price no-obligation trial for $199. No self-renewing contracts. Suspend, renew coverage at any time. Stay with a topic like trade while it’s hot and suspend coverage or switch coverage areas when it’s not. We serve customers one by one, 24/7.

Tony Mace was the top editorial executive for Market News
International for two decades. 

Washington Bureau Chief Denny Gulino had the same title at Market News for 18 years. 

Similar experience undergirds our service in Ottawa, London, Brussels and in Asia. 

CONTRIBUTORS

Picture of Tony Mace

Tony Mace

President
Mace News

Picture of Denny Gulino

Denny Gulino

D.C. Bureau Chief
Mace News

Picture of Steven Beckner

Steven Beckner

Federal Reserve
Mace News

Picture of Vicki Schmelzer

Vicki Schmelzer

Reporter and expert on the currency market.
Mace News

Picture of Suzanne Cosgrove

Suzanne Cosgrove

Reporter and expert on derivatives and fixed income markets.
Mace News

Picture of Laurie Laird

Laurie Laird

Financial Journalist
Mace News

Picture of Max Sato

Max Sato

Reporter, economic and political news.
Japan and Canada
Mace News

FRONT PAGE

BofA Global Research Fund Manager Survey:  Global Investors Pare Risk Holdings in June but Stay Positive On World Growth Prospects

By Vicki Schmelzer

NEW YORK (MaceNews) –
Global fund managers pared risk holdings in June, while at the same time remaining “steadfastly bullish” about world growth prospects, according to the latest BofA Global Fund Managers survey, released Tuesday.

This month, a net 1% of those polled looked for weaker economic growth in the coming 12 months. In May, a net 14% looked for weaker growth and in April a net 36% looked for weaker growth in the year ahead.

A net 45% of fund managers looked for higher global inflation in the coming year, down from a net 66% with that view in May and a net 69% with that view in April.

Fund managers increased their cash and bond allocation while trimming equity, real estate and commodity holdings.

“The history of FMS suggests this is not a ‘big top’ for risk assets,” which “will be signaled by bonds & voters,” but merely investors taking “summer chips” off the table,” BofA Global said. 

Cash levels rose to 4.1% in June, up from 3.9% in May and compared to 4.3% in April.

Cash allocation rose to a net 5% overweight this month, from a net 3% overweight in May and compared to a net 20% overweight in April.

In June, a net 38% of portfolio managers were overweight global equities, down from a net 50% overweight in May, but still well above the net 13% overweight seen in April.

A net 42% of managers were underweight bonds, versus a net 44% underweight in May and compared to a net 33% underweight in April.

Allocation to real estate stood at a net 15% underweight in June versus a net 14% underweight in May and a net 18% underweight in April.

This month, commodities allocation fell to a net 25% overweight from a net 31% overweight in May, but still above the net 20% overweight seen in April.

In terms of regional equity allocation, all regions except for the UK saw outflows.

Allocation to U.S. equities slipped to a net 17% overweight in June, down from a net 20% overweight in May but above the net 10% overweight seen in April. 

A net 15% of those polled were underweight eurozone stocks this month, compared to a net 4% underweight in May and a net 4% overweight in April.

Allocation to global emerging markets (GEM) edged down to a net 42% overweight in June. This compared to a net 48% overweight in May and a net 41% overweight in April.

This month, allocation to Japanese equities flipped to a net 5% underweight from a 13% overweight in May, while UK allocation improved to a net 24% underweight from a net 26% underweight in May.

In terms of the three biggest “tail risks” seen by managers, in June, these were “2nd wave inflation” (34% of those polled), “AI bubble” (28%) and “Disorderly rise in bond yields” (19%),

 In May, the tail risks were seen as “2nd wave inflation” (40% of those polled), “Geopolitical conflict” (20%) and “Disorderly rise in bond yields” (18%).

In June, the three “most crowded” trades were seen as “Long global semiconductors” (80% of those polled), “Long Magnificant 7 (12%), and “Long Oil” (4%).

The reading for “Long global semiconductors,” at 80% of those polled, is a record high for the survey, BoA Global noted.

Last month, the three “most crowded” trades were “Long global semiconductors” (73% of those polled), “Long Magnificent 7” (14%) and “Long Oil” (6%).

Note: the term “Magnificent Seven” was coined by Bank of America’s chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett, referring to a basket of the seven major tech stocks: Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, NVIDIA, Alphabet, Tesla and Meta.

In a special question this month, investors were asked about the current stage of AI stocks.  Fifty-six percent of fund managers said AI stocks were in the “Boom” stage, 21% the “Euphoria” stage, 9% the “Profit-taking” stage and zero percent, the “Panic” stage.

On the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, 22% favored Spain, 19% France, 8% England, 8% Brazil, 8% Argentina, 6% Portugal and 3% Germany.

An overall total of 198 panelists with $540bn in AUM participated in the BofA Global Research fund manager survey, taken June 5 to June 11, 2026. 

Contact this reporter: vicki@macenews.com

Preview: Forecasters See Japan Core CPI Inflation Low and Stable in May Report

Consensus outlook for Mace News
0830 JST (2330 GMT/1930 EDT Thursday, June 18) The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications releases May CPI.
Mace News median: total CPI +1.5% y/y (range: +1.4% to +1.6%) vs. Apr +1.4%; core CPI (ex-fresh food) +1.4% y/y (range: +1.4% to +1.5%) vs. Apr +1.4%; core-core CPI (ex-fresh food, energy) +1.9% y/y (range +1.7% to +2.0%) vs. Apr +1.9%

By Chikafumi Hodo

TOKYO (MaceNews) – Japan’s nationwide core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes fresh food, is expected to be little changed on the year in May, but is likely to remain below the Bank of Japan’s 2% inflation target for a fourth consecutive month.

Mirroring the trend seen in the Tokyo CPI released on May 29, consumer inflation continued to decelerate amid slower food price growth and the effects of government gasoline subsidies. In addition, the Tokyo government’s policy of waiving basic water service charges during the summer, starting in May, as well as reductions in early childcare costs, including nursery school fees, contributed to a further easing in inflation.

These measures have helped restrain inflationary pressures even as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed up international oil and other commodity prices. The tensions have also weighed on the yen, raising import costs and creating upward pressure on domestic prices.

The core CPI is expected to be unchanged at a 1.4% rise on the year in May, while the overall CPI is forecast to rise 1.5% after increasing 1.4% in April. Core-core CPI, which excludes both fresh food and energy, is also expected to remain unchanged, rising 1.9% from a year earlier in May.

Preview: Forecasters See Japan Machinery Orders Up Again on Year in April as AI Spending Boom Continues

Consensus outlook for Mace News

0850 JST (2350 GMT/1950 EDT Tuesday, June 16) The Cabinet Office releases April machinery orders.
Mace News median: core orders -0.3% m/m (range: -2.0% to +6.5%) vs. Mar -9.4%; +9.9% y/y (range: +8.5% to +17.4%) vs. Mar +5.9%

By Chikafumi Hodo

TOKYO (MaceNews) – Japan’s core machinery orders, a key leading indicator of business investment in equipment and software, are expected to edge down on the month in April while extending their year-on-year gains to a fifth consecutive month as corporate appetite for capital spending remained resilient despite geopolitical uncertainty stemming from war in the Middle East.

Capital investment related to semiconductors is expected to remain active in April amid growing expectations of expanding demand for artificial intelligence technologies. Machine tool orders also posted a sharp increase during the month, providing support for core machinery orders.

Core machinery orders are seen falling 0.3% on the month in April after falling 9.4% a month earlier. The March decline partly reflected a payback from the 13.6% surge recorded in February, when one-off large-ticket deals boosted orders. In March, the Cabinet Office maintained its assessment that machinery orders are “showing signs of a pickup.”

On a year-over-year basis, core machinery orders are expected to rise 9.9% in April after increasing 5.9% in March. Orders rose 24.7% in February, 13.7% in January and 16.8% in December.

MORE NEWS

CONTACT US/SALES

President, Mace News:

tony@macenews.com


Washington Bureau Chief:

denny@macenews.com


SUBSCRIPTIONS

Contact Mace News President
Tony Mace tony@macenews.com 
to find a customer- and markets-oriented brand of news coverage with a level of individualized service unique to the industry. A market participant told us he believes he has his own White House correspondent as Mace News provides breaking news and/or audio feeds, stories, savvy analysis, photos and headlines delivered how you want them. And more. And this is important because you won’t get it anywhere else. That’s MICRONEWS. We know how important to you are the short advisories on what’s coming up, whether briefings, statements, unexpected changes in schedules and calendars and anything else that piques our interest.

No matter the area being covered, the reporter is always only a telephone call or message away. We check with you frequently to see how we can improve. Have a question, need to be briefed via video or audio-only on a topic’s state of play, keep us on speed dial. See the list of interest areas we cover elsewhere
on this site.

You can have two weeks reduced price no-obligation trial for $199. No self-renewing contracts. Suspend, renew coverage at any time. Stay with a topic like trade while its hot and suspend coverage or switch coverage areas when it’s not. We serve customers one by one 24/7.

Tony Mace was the top editorial executive for Market News International for two decades. 

Washington Bureau Chief Denny Gulino had the same title at Market News for 18 years. 

Similar experience undergirds our service in Ottawa, London, Brussels and in Asia.

 

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